UPDATE 12:15 AM, 6/24: A band of showers moving through the New River and Roanoke valleys over the next couple of hours early on this Saturday morning will mark just about the sum of the former Tropical Storm Cindy’s effects on our region. A few gusts near 40 mph, especially in higher elevations, and quick downpour may occur, but this will not be flooding rain, and it appears the tornado risk has passed. Saturday (afternoon for sure, and maybe morning as well) and Sunday will turn into pretty nice days for us. END UPDATE
The former Tropical Storm Cindy will continue to interact and eventually be absorbed by a cold front moving in from the northwest, so as today and Saturday progress, it will continue to lose its structure and effects as a separate weather entity.
More and more, it is looking as if the heaviest rain will be focused well northwest of our region in the Ohio Valley, with periods of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms moving through Southwest Virginia. The likelihood of a widespread, serious flooding event for our region is low, as rainfall amounts may not even reach an inch in most locations. Any flooding that does occur will likely depend on localized torrential downpours in stronger thunderstorms that may develop.
As Cindy’s circulation continues to unwind, the chance of tornadoes will continue to diminish but there may be a brief resurgence this afternoon, especially to our west in the Tennessee Valley closest to the remnant circulation, and also if sunshine can warm things enough to destabilize the atmosphere for more vigorous storms. For the afternoon and evening there is the slightest of risks of an isolated tornado or two in storms even into our region. Just something go be aware of. Any tornadoes that develop will likely be brief and weak. There may also be a few strong wind gusts in more intense storms.
Some showers and storms may continue into Saturday morning, before a front starts clearing out moisture late in the day, and leaves a nice Sunday. Next week, there may be 2 or 3 really cool mornings for late June — 40s possibly in some locations. We’ll get back to that after Cindy exits stage right.