These two teams know Wembley well and our tipster believes they’re likely to be very closely matched in the battle for promotion to the Championship
Millwall fell at the final hurdle last season when they lost to Barnsley in the League One play-off final at Wembley but Neil Harris’ men have a second chance to secure a spot in the Championship this weekend.
The Lions will need to see off Braford City, the team they beat in the semi-finals last season, but there’s very little between these teams on form.
The Londoners are very slight favourites with Paddy Power, despite finishing six points inferior in the table, priced at 17/10 (2.70) to win in 90 minutes while the Bantamas are available at 7/4 (2.75). The draw appeals most of those prices at 2/1 (3.0) given what is at stake.
Harris’ men have taken some big scalps in the FA Cup this season, knocking out Leicester City, Bournemouth and Watford before coming unstuck against Tottenham, so they do have plenty of experience under pressure in recent months.
Bradford have been to this iconic venue recently too, courtesy of an even better cup run than their opponents managed this term. Under the stewardship of former boss Phil Parkinson they made it to the League Cup final back in 2013, so neither club are likely to buckle under the pressure of the big occasions but as the odds suggest, it’s tricky to split them with any confidence.
The two regular season meetings both ended level and the Bantams have become something of draw specialists in this competition, with 19 of their regular season encounters finishing all square, more than anyone else in League One.
With that in mind, the 2/1 (3.0) about the sides needing extra time or penalties to decide a winner makes plenty of appeal in terms of a wager for the match.
The Yorkshire side are often set up to be difficult to beat primarilly, as opposed to risking too much going forward. In terms of goals scored, they netted 62 over the course of the 46-game season, fewer than any side who finished in the top 10, but they also have the joint-second best defensive record in the league.
For those searching for a bigger price, consider the fact that 1-1 is a score line that paid out in both the aforementioned meetings between these two sides this season.
Overall, it was the correct score in no fewer than 11 of Bradford’s games ended one apiece, so the option to back this outcome once more in such a high-profile clash should appeal at 5/1 (6.0). It’s certainly worth a smaller stake given the regularity with which it’s proved profitable when it comes to Stuart McCall’s side.
|Draw at 2/1 (3.0) for a 2pt stake and 1-1 Correct Score at 5/1 (6.0) for a 1pt stake at Paddy Power|